As an extremely crude conversion, you can add 10 points to your Kaplan score to get your AAMC score. The short story is – Kaplan’s scores are heavily, heavily, deflated, but still have predictive power. I don’t know if it’s possible to drop the ball that badly on test day so I’m calling it a fluke. I also excluded data from one other user who reported a 472 on the real exam after reporting 505, 504, 509, and 509 on NextStep Exams 1-4, and a 509 and 510 on AAMC #1 and #2. Impossible scores were thrown out (one user reported a ‘406’ on NextStep Exam 1, which, like the real MCAT, is scored 472-528). There is a tremendous amount of self-reporting bias in this data, which I’ll touch on at the end. I only included individuals who took the MCAT between January and September 2017. It’s comprised of users of the MCAT subreddit and the Student Doctor Network forums.

The data has been taken from this user submitted score spreadsheet, comprised of 844 user-submitted scores. Here I attempt to predict MCAT scores using 3 rd party practice exam scores and user-submitted data from Reddit. Test takers of the past had 10 AAMC exams, but the post-2015 MCAT renders those practice tests worthless. If their score isn’t where they want it to be, they’re left with only 3 AAMC scored exams. But those exams are a precious resource, as they’re the closest thing we can get to the real MCAT. The AAMC only has 3 scored practice exams released, leaving prospective test takers in a tough situation – to know where they stand, they have to take an AAMC scored exam.

Also don’t look at this on mobile, the graphs are probably butchered on there) ( 3/26/18 – this is an unfinished post that I’ve put up so the data can be of use to others while I add to it / revise it.

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